The Liquidity Roadmap

Is The Liquidity Roadmap Perfect?

No, the Liquidity Roadmap does not and cannot reflect every possible outcome in the market. Markets can do anything - there are not guarantees.

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However - there are high probability outcomes.

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In the Roadmap sample above, you'll see what look like deviations, some are shocks and others are not deviations at all - but characteristics of liquidity cycles.

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There are dynamic lags, shocks, displacements, and cycle resets, something members hear me talk about.

Interpreting The Roadmap

The Liquidity Roadmap provides a high-level view of the market environment that risk assets tend to operate within. On its own, the roadmap can appear revealing and useful, I even share it on social media.

However, it does not provide clarity around how different environments tend to unfold in real time — including nuance around the timing of turning points, the potential duration of a move, or a framing of the risks that emerge from decision options.

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That nuance isn’t obvious from the the liquidity roadmap line alone. It comes from experience being in the  market through these conditions, combined with consistently framing decisions within this context.

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This is where the Liquidity Roadmap matters most — not as a standalone reference, but as the starting point of a disciplined way of thinking about risk and exposure combined with nuance that the chart alone does not reveal.

Membership & The Roadmap

Members don’t receive the Liquidity Roadmap as a tool to operate on directly.

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Instead, they receive my interpretation of what the Roadmap suggests about the broader market environment, and how I think through potential decision paths as conditions evolve.

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This includes commentary on probable timing windows and likely durations of moves — for example, whether conditions suggest a potential turn over the coming days or whether a move is more likely to persist over a defined range of time. These are contextual ranges, not precise dates or instructions.

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The focus is on understanding how to think about entry, exit, and patience as uncertainty unfolds, including the trade-offs involved in acting too early, too late, or not at all — rather than on executing a specific strategy.

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Over time, this perspective helps members develop their own judgment and confidence in navigating market cycles — grounded in context, not reaction.