Why Join...
I am in the process of creating a new membership product. Details of my new offering will be in an 'about membership' section coming soon.
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The summary below describes my thinking around why selective and longer term trading instead of a buy and hold approach is the right decision in our current environment.
A New System
We are in a changing world order and markets are amplifying uncertainty within an increasingly fragile capital funding environment and liquidity is the life raft keeping financial markets afloat. With institutional migration into crypto, navigating these changes is more important than ever.​
Adaptive Capital Thesis
This framework reflects how I view markets and why I believe that active trading strategies are optimal for the foreseeable future.
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The system is changing
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General: Changing monetary and geopolitical forces are driving changes that are impacting financial markets and will become more evident moving forward.
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Crypto: Wall Street has taken the baton and now drives the ebbs and flows in Bitcoin and Ethereum through leverage, derivatives, and risk management decisions.
Old strategies rely on conditions that no longer exist
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General: Capital wars are reshaping where money seeks risk exposure, further straining an already fragile funding system, both amplifying the risk to passive investing strategies.
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Crypto: Wall Street's role in crypto markets has muted the traditional four year cycle. The current regime transmits liquidity differently from past regimes, leaving a distinct fingerprint as it flows through crypto markets.
Adaptation — not belief — is now the edge
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Liquidity conditions are the earliest sign of a higher risk and volatile market.
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Adapting risk exposure decisions around liquidity contraction and expansion presents an opportunity to preserve capital in an increasingly stressed and volatile financial sytem.
Enough of The Doom & Gloom
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Crypto markets aren’t random — but noise makes them feel that way.
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The goal isn’t constant participation — it’s selective engagement.
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Seeing high probability risk conditions in advance, coupled with nuance about how markets tend to respond to liquidity cycles becomes a trading edge.